And Then There Were None: The Disappearance of Community Banks

by Stephen Greer, November 11, 2014
Industry Trends
North America

Abstract

Community institutions must be deft purveyors of modern financial services. Banking is no longer a simple business, and the complexities and modern requirements are overwhelming those without the scale to meet new challenges. The past 10 years have seen the rise of Internet banking and bill pay, mobile banking, know your customer (KYC), Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) compliance, consumer and business remote deposit capture, branch capture, and much more.

Most small institutions don’t have the resources to stay on top of it all, and the requirements to “keep the lights on” leave pockets dry for modern customer-facing applications and services that have become crucial to growing deposits. Within this environment, smaller institutions are declining.

In the report And Then There Were None: The Disappearance of Community Banks, Celent looks at the trends affecting consolidation of banks in the US. The report begins by tracking the trends within six asset tiers. The report examines the growth of deposits, followed by efficiency ratios, and concludes with insight and recommendations for banks going forward.

The past 20 years have shown continued concentration in the commercial banking space in the US, with banks with more than $10 billion in assets dramatically gaining deposit share. Today the top five banks in the United States have nearly 40% of all domestic deposits.

The number of commercial banks in the US is declining rapidly, from 11,462 at the end of 1992 to 5,809 in 2014. Celent predicts the total will drop to 4,942 by 2019, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of –3.1%. The vast majority of this consolidation is taking place in the smallest commercial banks, those with assets less than $100 million.

“To survive in this new era of digital banking, small institutions need to adapt. Consumers can now have banking relationships that never leave a mobile device,” says Stephen Greer, an analyst with Celent’s Banking practice and author of the report. “Many may take advantage of attractive loans from a community institution, while keeping deposits with a bank that enables cutting-edge digital capabilities like bill pay, transfers, and payments.”

Celent is a research and advisory firm dedicated to helping financial institutions formulate comprehensive business and technology strategies. Celent publishes reports identifying trends and best practices in financial services technology and conducts consulting engagements for financial institutions looking to use technology to enhance existing business processes or launch new business strategies. With a team of internationally based analysts, Celent is uniquely positioned to offer strategic advice and market insights on a global basis. Celent is a member of the Oliver Wyman Group, which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC].

Media Contacts

North America
Michele Pace
mpace@celent.com
Tel: +1 212 345 1366

Europe (London)
Chris Williams
cwilliams@celent.com
Tel: +44 (0)782 448 3336

Asia (Tokyo)
Yumi Nagaoka
ynagaoka@celent.com
Tel.: +81 3 3500 3023

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

1

Bank Count and Deposit Growth

4

 

Deposit Share of the Top 5 Banks Is Increasing

11

 

Efficiency Ratios

14

Thoughts for the Future

17

Leveraging Celent’s Expertise

19

 

Support for Financial Institutions

19

 

Support for Vendors

19

Related Celent Research

20

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