Unbundling and Softing Trends in Europe and the US

by David Easthope, June 19, 2006

Abstract

Boston, MA, USA Paris, France June 19, 2006

Unbundling and softing regulation in the UK will force brokers to be either execution or research providers, but the impact of similar regulation in the US is likely to be less extreme.

The Financial Services Authority's Consultation Paper, known as CP176, will have a major impact on the brokerage and fund management industries in the United Kingdom. The legislation will result in fund managers increasingly embracing commission-sharing arrangements (CSAs) and reducing trading partners. However, MiFID may replace CP176, so the efforts of the FSA and investment firms may prove fruitless. The outcome of a similar regulation in the US, the SEC Section 28(e) "safe harbor" provision guidance, will have far less of an impact.

In a new report, , Celent outlines the enacted regulations for unbundling and softing in the United Kingdom and the directives under MiFID. The report also compares CP176 with the Section 28(e) "safe harbor" in the US. Celent outlines new arrangements in the UK, CSAs, which have appeared under CP176, a version of which is being adapted for the US market. Finally, Celent underscores how the MiFID directives will potentially affect trading in France and Germany and in continental Europe generally.

Octavio Marenzi, co-author of the report and President and CEO of Celent, said, "Given the more stringent restrictions under MiFID, the inducements directive could well be the death knell for bundling and soft commissions in the European Union."

Celent believes CP176 will cause a shift of £145 million in execution commissions, or 7% thereof, to top brokers for execution purposes annually in the UK, with a shift of £32 million, or 8%, of total bundled and softed commissions to third parties annually. Overall, Celent predicts a 5% gradual decline in commissions over the next few years, or £193 million, due to increased efficiency and transparency.

In the US, the impact is expected to be more negligible. Celent predicts soft commissions could hover in the US$1.85 billion range and then decline to between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion over the next five years. A good portion of this budget decline is expected to accrue to commission management software firms as well as evaluators of research quality. While more third party research providers could capture some of this soft dollar budget decline, the need to be paid through order flow could hinder these efforts.

David Easthope, co-author of the report and analyst in the Securities & Investments group at Celent, said, "While SEC Section 28(e) "safe harbor" language is amenable to third parties, actual reward mechanisms (payment with order flow) may actually hinder growth in the use of third party providers in the US."

The 31-page report includes 4 figures and 4 tables. A table of contents is available online.

 

Celent is a research and advisory firm dedicated to helping financial institutions formulate comprehensive business and technology strategies. Celent publishes reports identifying trends and best practices in financial services technology and conducts consulting engagements for financial institutions looking to use technology to enhance existing business processes or launch new business strategies. With a team of internationally based analysts, Celent is uniquely positioned to offer strategic advice and market insights on a global basis. Celent is a member of the Oliver Wyman Group, which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC].

Media Contacts

North America
Michele Pace
mpace@celent.com
Tel: +1 212 345 1366

Europe (London)
Chris Williams
cwilliams@celent.com
Tel: +44 (0)782 448 3336

Asia (Tokyo)
Yumi Nagaoka
ynagaoka@celent.com
Tel.: +81 3 3500 3023

Table of Contents

Boston, MA, USA Paris, France June 19, 2006

Executive Summary 3
Introduction 4
A Primer On Bundling And Soft Commissions 5
Winds Of Change In United Kingdom 9
Industry Practice In Continental Europe 14
  France 15
  Germany 17
The Impact of MiFID 18
Charting The Course Of The Sec 20
Celent Predictions 27
Concluding Thoughts 29
Objectivity & Methodology 30

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