Securities Settlement Revolution: The Advent of a New Repo Market and JGB T+1 Settlement

by Eiichiro Yanagawa, March 31, 2017
Industry Trends
Asia-Pacific

Abstract

This report examines the efforts planned and in progress to shorten the settlement cycle of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from two business days after the trade date (T+2) to one (T+1).

Celent has released a new report titled Securities Settlement Revolution: JGB T+1 & the Dawn of a New Repo Market. The report was written by Eiichiro Yanagawa, a Senior Analyst with Celent’s Asian Financial Services practice.
 
This report examines the efforts planned and in progress to shorten the settlement cycle of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from two business days after the trade date (T+2) to one (T+1). This series of reports on the so-called “securities settlement revolution,” will focus on key trends and changes in the securities settlement market of Japan while exploring legacy systems and ecosystem migration as well as the related possibilities of innovation and emerging technologies in this context.
 
Market participants should take this event as an opportunity to modernize their business processes and systems:

  1. Initiatives to shorten the settlement cycle for JGBs and securities.
  2. Efforts to enhance the functions, and expand the use, linkages, and integration of the CCP.
  3. Enhanced functions of the central securities depository (CSD).
  4. Accelerated adoption and use of straight-through processing by market participants.
  5. Facilitating smoother cross-border securities settlement. The revolution in the works will go beyond mere cosmetic reforms to the market system.

This new market, envisioned to reach a scale of 20 trillion to 30 trillion yen, could cause structural change.

  1. The coming watershed in repo trading is an opportunity to create a new repo market.
    This is because of the shift from Japan’s unique “gentan” repo (securities-lending
    approach) to the “gensaki” approach, which is the international norm.
  2. With the advent of this new system, a same-day settlement market will emerge in
    Japan’s money market. 

“Technology continues to evolve. It advances without waiting for the financial industry or its players to come to grips with it or to develop pertinent applications. The securities settlement revolution in Japan has unfolded slowly, requiring more than 15 years all told. The coming financial infrastructure revolution should not take place at such a glacial pace,” commented Yanagawa.

“Financial institutions find themselves at a point where they should reconsider their approaches to financial infrastructure management. System reform will need to be tackled. Loosely coupling (or unbundling) connections with the financial infrastructure (exchanges, clearing houses, and settlement infrastructure) can increase the available options in business and IT sourcing models, contributing to strategic flexibility," he added.

Celent is a research and advisory firm dedicated to helping financial institutions formulate comprehensive business and technology strategies. Celent publishes reports identifying trends and best practices in financial services technology and conducts consulting engagements for financial institutions looking to use technology to enhance existing business processes or launch new business strategies. With a team of internationally based analysts, Celent is uniquely positioned to offer strategic advice and market insights on a global basis. Celent is a member of the Oliver Wyman Group, which is a wholly-owned operating unit of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC].

Media Contacts

North America
Michele Pace
mpace@celent.com
Tel: +1 212 345 1366

Europe (London)
Chris Williams
cwilliams@celent.com
Tel: +44 (0)782 448 3336

Asia (Tokyo)
Yumi Nagaoka
ynagaoka@celent.com
Tel.: +81 3 3500 3023

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

1

 

Key Research Questions

1

Japan’s Payment and Settlement Systems

3

 

Overview of Japan’s Payment Systems

3

Securities Settlement System Trends

6

 

Global Trends

6

 

Technology Trends in Japan

7

 

Securities Settlement System Evolution: A Brief History

11

JGB T+1 Settlement and the New Repo Market

15

 

Shortening JGB Settlement

15

 

Globalization Challenges and Future Expectations

15

 

Outlook for the New Market

16

 

The New Market’s Grand Design

17

The Advent of a New Repo Market

22

 

Money Market and Repo Market Trends

22

 

Repo Market: An International Comparison

23

 

New Market Potential

25

 

Laying the Groundwork for the New Repo Market

26

 

The Road to JGB T+1 Settlement

26

The Future of the Securities Settlement Evolution

29

 

Celent’s Recommendation: Digital Shift as an Innovation Opportunity

29

 

Transitioning from an Integral Model to a Modular Model

30

 

Modular Financial Services

31

 

Changes in IT Management and Sourcing Models

32

 

IoT, AI, and Blockchain

34

 

Financial Infrastructure Revolution

36

About the Sequel Reports

37

Leveraging Celent’s Expertise

38

 

Support for Financial Institutions

38

 

Support for Vendors

38

Related Celent Research

39

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